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Bob The Magic Custodian



Summary: Everyone knows that when you give your assets to someone else, they always keep them safe. If this is true for individuals, it is certainly true for businesses.
Custodians always tell the truth and manage funds properly. They won't have any interest in taking the assets as an exchange operator would. Auditors tell the truth and can't be misled. That's because organizations that are regulated are incapable of lying and don't make mistakes.

First, some background. Here is a summary of how custodians make us more secure:

Previously, we might give Alice our crypto assets to hold. There were risks:

But "no worries", Alice has a custodian named Bob. Bob is dressed in a nice suit. He knows some politicians. And he drives a Porsche. "So you have nothing to worry about!". And look at all the benefits we get:
See - all problems are solved! All we have to worry about now is:
It's pretty simple. Before we had to trust Alice. Now we only have to trust Alice, Bob, and all the ways in which they communicate. Just think of how much more secure we are!

"On top of that", Bob assures us, "we're using a special wallet structure". Bob shows Alice a diagram. "We've broken the balance up and store it in lots of smaller wallets. That way", he assures her, "a thief can't take it all at once". And he points to a historic case where a large sum was taken "because it was stored in a single wallet... how stupid".
"Very early on, we used to have all the crypto in one wallet", he said, "and then one Christmas a hacker came and took it all. We call him the Grinch. Now we individually wrap each crypto and stick it under a binary search tree. The Grinch has never been back since."

"As well", Bob continues, "even if someone were to get in, we've got insurance. It covers all thefts and even coercion, collusion, and misplaced keys - only subject to the policy terms and conditions." And with that, he pulls out a phone-book sized contract and slams it on the desk with a thud. "Yep", he continues, "we're paying top dollar for one of the best policies in the country!"
"Can I read it?' Alice asks. "Sure," Bob says, "just as soon as our legal team is done with it. They're almost through the first chapter." He pauses, then continues. "And can you believe that sales guy Mike? He has the same year Porsche as me. I mean, what are the odds?"

"Do you use multi-sig?", Alice asks. "Absolutely!" Bob replies. "All our engineers are fully trained in multi-sig. Whenever we want to set up a new wallet, we generate 2 separate keys in an air-gapped process and store them in this proprietary system here. Look, it even requires the biometric signature from one of our team members to initiate any withdrawal." He demonstrates by pressing his thumb into the display. "We use a third-party cloud validation API to match the thumbprint and authorize each withdrawal. The keys are also backed up daily to an off-site third-party."
"Wow that's really impressive," Alice says, "but what if we need access for a withdrawal outside of office hours?" "Well that's no issue", Bob says, "just send us an email, call, or text message and we always have someone on staff to help out. Just another part of our strong commitment to all our customers!"

"What about Proof of Reserve?", Alice asks. "Of course", Bob replies, "though rather than publish any blockchain addresses or signed transaction, for privacy we just do a SHA256 refactoring of the inverse hash modulus for each UTXO nonce and combine the smart contract coefficient consensus in our hyperledger lightning node. But it's really simple to use." He pushes a button and a large green checkmark appears on a screen. "See - the algorithm ran through and reserves are proven."
"Wow", Alice says, "you really know your stuff! And that is easy to use! What about fiat balances?" "Yeah, we have an auditor too", Bob replies, "Been using him for a long time so we have quite a strong relationship going! We have special books we give him every year and he's very efficient! Checks the fiat, crypto, and everything all at once!"

"We used to have a nice offline multi-sig setup we've been using without issue for the past 5 years, but I think we'll move all our funds over to your facility," Alice says. "Awesome", Bob replies, "Thanks so much! This is perfect timing too - my Porsche got a dent on it this morning. We have the paperwork right over here." "Great!", Alice replies.
And with that, Alice gets out her pen and Bob gets the contract. "Don't worry", he says, "you can take your crypto-assets back anytime you like - just subject to our cancellation policy. Our annual management fees are also super low and we don't adjust them often".

How many holes have to exist for your funds to get stolen?
Just one.

Why are we taking a powerful offline multi-sig setup, widely used globally in hundreds of different/lacking regulatory environments with 0 breaches to date, and circumventing it by a demonstrably weak third party layer? And paying a great expense to do so?
If you go through the list of breaches in the past 2 years to highly credible organizations, you go through the list of major corporate frauds (only the ones we know about), you go through the list of all the times platforms have lost funds, you go through the list of times and ways that people have lost their crypto from identity theft, hot wallet exploits, extortion, etc... and then you go through this custodian with a fine-tooth comb and truly believe they have value to add far beyond what you could, sticking your funds in a wallet (or set of wallets) they control exclusively is the absolute worst possible way to take advantage of that security.

The best way to add security for crypto-assets is to make a stronger multi-sig. With one custodian, what you are doing is giving them your cryptocurrency and hoping they're honest, competent, and flawlessly secure. It's no different than storing it on a really secure exchange. Maybe the insurance will cover you. Didn't work for Bitpay in 2015. Didn't work for Yapizon in 2017. Insurance has never paid a claim in the entire history of cryptocurrency. But maybe you'll get lucky. Maybe your exact scenario will buck the trend and be what they're willing to cover. After the large deductible and hopefully without a long and expensive court battle.

And you want to advertise this increase in risk, the lapse of judgement, an accident waiting to happen, as though it's some kind of benefit to customers ("Free institutional-grade storage for your digital assets.")? And then some people are writing to the OSC that custodians should be mandatory for all funds on every exchange platform? That this somehow will make Canadians as a whole more secure or better protected compared with standard air-gapped multi-sig? On what planet?

Most of the problems in Canada stemmed from one thing - a lack of transparency. If Canadians had known what a joke Quadriga was - it wouldn't have grown to lose $400m from hard-working Canadians from coast to coast to coast. And Gerald Cotten would be in jail, not wherever he is now (at best, rotting peacefully). EZ-BTC and mister Dave Smilie would have been a tiny little scam to his friends, not a multi-million dollar fraud. Einstein would have got their act together or been shut down BEFORE losing millions and millions more in people's funds generously donated to criminals. MapleChange wouldn't have even been a thing. And maybe we'd know a little more about CoinTradeNewNote - like how much was lost in there. Almost all of the major losses with cryptocurrency exchanges involve deception with unbacked funds.
So it's great to see transparency reports from BitBuy and ShakePay where someone independently verified the backing. The only thing we don't have is:
It's not complicated to validate cryptocurrency assets. They need to exist, they need to be spendable, and they need to cover the total balances. There are plenty of credible people and firms across the country that have the capacity to reasonably perform this validation. Having more frequent checks by different, independent, parties who publish transparent reports is far more valuable than an annual check by a single "more credible/official" party who does the exact same basic checks and may or may not publish anything. Here's an example set of requirements that could be mandated:
There are ways to structure audits such that neither crypto assets nor customer information are ever put at risk, and both can still be properly validated and publicly verifiable. There are also ways to structure audits such that they are completely reasonable for small platforms and don't inhibit innovation in any way. By making the process as reasonable as possible, we can completely eliminate any reason/excuse that an honest platform would have for not being audited. That is arguable far more important than any incremental improvement we might get from mandating "the best of the best" accountants. Right now we have nothing mandated and tons of Canadians using offshore exchanges with no oversight whatsoever.

Transparency does not prove crypto assets are safe. CoinTradeNewNote, Flexcoin ($600k), and Canadian Bitcoins ($100k) are examples where crypto-assets were breached from platforms in Canada. All of them were online wallets and used no multi-sig as far as any records show. This is consistent with what we see globally - air-gapped multi-sig wallets have an impeccable record, while other schemes tend to suffer breach after breach. We don't actually know how much CoinTrader lost because there was no visibility. Rather than publishing details of what happened, the co-founder of CoinTrader silently moved on to found another platform - the "most trusted way to buy and sell crypto" - a site that has no information whatsoever (that I could find) on the storage practices and a FAQ advising that “[t]rading cryptocurrency is completely safe” and that having your own wallet is “entirely up to you! You can certainly keep cryptocurrency, or fiat, or both, on the app.” Doesn't sound like much was learned here, which is really sad to see.
It's not that complicated or unreasonable to set up a proper hardware wallet. Multi-sig can be learned in a single course. Something the equivalent complexity of a driver's license test could prevent all the cold storage exploits we've seen to date - even globally. Platform operators have a key advantage in detecting and preventing fraud - they know their customers far better than any custodian ever would. The best job that custodians can do is to find high integrity individuals and train them to form even better wallet signatories. Rather than mandating that all platforms expose themselves to arbitrary third party risks, regulations should center around ensuring that all signatories are background-checked, properly trained, and using proper procedures. We also need to make sure that signatories are empowered with rights and responsibilities to reject and report fraud. They need to know that they can safely challenge and delay a transaction - even if it turns out they made a mistake. We need to have an environment where mistakes are brought to the surface and dealt with. Not one where firms and people feel the need to hide what happened. In addition to a knowledge-based test, an auditor can privately interview each signatory to make sure they're not in coercive situations, and we should make sure they can freely and anonymously report any issues without threat of retaliation.
A proper multi-sig has each signature held by a separate person and is governed by policies and mutual decisions instead of a hierarchy. It includes at least one redundant signature. For best results, 3of4, 3of5, 3of6, 4of5, 4of6, 4of7, 5of6, or 5of7.

History has demonstrated over and over again the risk of hot wallets even to highly credible organizations. Nonetheless, many platforms have hot wallets for convenience. While such losses are generally compensated by platforms without issue (for example Poloniex, Bitstamp, Bitfinex, Gatecoin, Coincheck, Bithumb, Zaif, CoinBene, Binance, Bitrue, Bitpoint, Upbit, VinDAX, and now KuCoin), the public tends to focus more on cases that didn't end well. Regardless of what systems are employed, there is always some level of risk. For that reason, most members of the public would prefer to see third party insurance.
Rather than trying to convince third party profit-seekers to provide comprehensive insurance and then relying on an expensive and slow legal system to enforce against whatever legal loopholes they manage to find each and every time something goes wrong, insurance could be run through multiple exchange operators and regulators, with the shared interest of having a reputable industry, keeping costs down, and taking care of Canadians. For example, a 4 of 7 multi-sig insurance fund held between 5 independent exchange operators and 2 regulatory bodies. All Canadian exchanges could pay premiums at a set rate based on their needed coverage, with a higher price paid for hot wallet coverage (anything not an air-gapped multi-sig cold wallet). Such a model would be much cheaper to manage, offer better coverage, and be much more reliable to payout when needed. The kind of coverage you could have under this model is unheard of. You could even create something like the CDIC to protect Canadians who get their trading accounts hacked if they can sufficiently prove the loss is legitimate. In cases of fraud, gross negligence, or insolvency, the fund can be used to pay affected users directly (utilizing the last transparent balance report in the worst case), something which private insurance would never touch. While it's recommended to have official policies for coverage, a model where members vote would fully cover edge cases. (Could be similar to the Supreme Court where justices vote based on case law.)
Such a model could fully protect all Canadians across all platforms. You can have a fiat coverage governed by legal agreements, and crypto-asset coverage governed by both multi-sig and legal agreements. It could be practical, affordable, and inclusive.

Now, we are at a crossroads. We can happily give up our freedom, our innovation, and our money. We can pay hefty expenses to auditors, lawyers, and regulators year after year (and make no mistake - this cost will grow to many millions or even billions as the industry grows - and it will be borne by all Canadians on every platform because platforms are not going to eat up these costs at a loss). We can make it nearly impossible for any new platform to enter the marketplace, forcing Canadians to use the same stagnant platforms year after year. We can centralize and consolidate the entire industry into 2 or 3 big players and have everyone else fail (possibly to heavy losses of users of those platforms). And when a flawed security model doesn't work and gets breached, we can make it even more complicated with even more people in suits making big money doing the job that blockchain was supposed to do in the first place. We can build a system which is so intertwined and dependent on big government, traditional finance, and central bankers that it's future depends entirely on that of the fiat system, of fractional banking, and of government bail-outs. If we choose this path, as history has shown us over and over again, we can not go back, save for revolution. Our children and grandchildren will still be paying the consequences of what we decided today.
Or, we can find solutions that work. We can maintain an open and innovative environment while making the adjustments we need to make to fully protect Canadian investors and cryptocurrency users, giving easy and affordable access to cryptocurrency for all Canadians on the platform of their choice, and creating an environment in which entrepreneurs and problem solvers can bring those solutions forward easily. None of the above precludes innovation in any way, or adds any unreasonable cost - and these three policies would demonstrably eliminate or resolve all 109 historic cases as studied here - that's every single case researched so far going back to 2011. It includes every loss that was studied so far not just in Canada but globally as well.
Unfortunately, finding answers is the least challenging part. Far more challenging is to get platform operators and regulators to agree on anything. My last post got no response whatsoever, and while the OSC has told me they're happy for industry feedback, I believe my opinion alone is fairly meaningless. This takes the whole community working together to solve. So please let me know your thoughts. Please take the time to upvote and share this with people. Please - let's get this solved and not leave it up to other people to do.

Facts/background/sources (skip if you like):



Thoughts?
submitted by azoundria2 to QuadrigaInitiative [link] [comments]

The Next Crypto Wave: The Rise of Stablecoins and its Entry to the U.S. Dollar Market

The Next Crypto Wave: The Rise of Stablecoins and its Entry to the U.S. Dollar Market

Author: Christian Hsieh, CEO of Tokenomy
This paper examines some explanations for the continual global market demand for the U.S. dollar, the rise of stablecoins, and the utility and opportunities that crypto dollars can offer to both the cryptocurrency and traditional markets.
The U.S. dollar, dominant in world trade since the establishment of the 1944 Bretton Woods System, is unequivocally the world’s most demanded reserve currency. Today, more than 61% of foreign bank reserves and nearly 40% of the entire world’s debt is denominated in U.S. dollars1.
However, there is a massive supply and demand imbalance in the U.S. dollar market. On the supply side, central banks throughout the world have implemented more than a decade-long accommodative monetary policy since the 2008 global financial crisis. The COVID-19 pandemic further exacerbated the need for central banks to provide necessary liquidity and keep staggering economies moving. While the Federal Reserve leads the effort of “money printing” and stimulus programs, the current money supply still cannot meet the constant high demand for the U.S. dollar2. Let us review some of the reasons for this constant dollar demand from a few economic fundamentals.

Demand for U.S. Dollars

Firstly, most of the world’s trade is denominated in U.S. dollars. Chief Economist of the IMF, Gita Gopinath, has compiled data reflecting that the U.S. dollar’s share of invoicing was 4.7 times larger than America’s share of the value of imports, and 3.1 times its share of world exports3. The U.S. dollar is the dominant “invoicing currency” in most developing countries4.

https://preview.redd.it/d4xalwdyz8p51.png?width=535&format=png&auto=webp&s=9f0556c6aa6b29016c9b135f3279e8337dfee2a6

https://preview.redd.it/wucg40kzz8p51.png?width=653&format=png&auto=webp&s=71257fec29b43e0fc0df1bf04363717e3b52478f
This U.S. dollar preference also directly impacts the world’s debt. According to the Bank of International Settlements, there is over $67 trillion in U.S. dollar denominated debt globally, and borrowing outside of the U.S. accounted for $12.5 trillion in Q1 20205. There is an immense demand for U.S. dollars every year just to service these dollar debts. The annual U.S. dollar buying demand is easily over $1 trillion assuming the borrowing cost is at 1.5% (1 year LIBOR + 1%) per year, a conservative estimate.

https://preview.redd.it/6956j6f109p51.png?width=487&format=png&auto=webp&s=ccea257a4e9524c11df25737cac961308b542b69
Secondly, since the U.S. has a much stronger economy compared to its global peers, a higher return on investments draws U.S. dollar demand from everywhere in the world, to invest in companies both in the public and private markets. The U.S. hosts the largest stock markets in the world with more than $33 trillion in public market capitalization (combined both NYSE and NASDAQ)6. For the private market, North America’s total share is well over 60% of the $6.5 trillion global assets under management across private equity, real assets, and private debt investments7. The demand for higher quality investments extends to the fixed income market as well. As countries like Japan and Switzerland currently have negative-yielding interest rates8, fixed income investors’ quest for yield in the developed economies leads them back to the U.S. debt market. As of July 2020, there are $15 trillion worth of negative-yielding debt securities globally (see chart). In comparison, the positive, low-yielding U.S. debt remains a sound fixed income strategy for conservative investors in uncertain market conditions.

Source: Bloomberg
Last, but not least, there are many developing economies experiencing failing monetary policies, where hyperinflation has become a real national disaster. A classic example is Venezuela, where the currency Bolivar became practically worthless as the inflation rate skyrocketed to 10,000,000% in 20199. The recent Beirut port explosion in Lebanon caused a sudden economic meltdown and compounded its already troubled financial market, where inflation has soared to over 112% year on year10. For citizens living in unstable regions such as these, the only reliable store of value is the U.S. dollar. According to the Chainalysis 2020 Geography of Cryptocurrency Report, Venezuela has become one of the most active cryptocurrency trading countries11. The demand for cryptocurrency surges as a flight to safety mentality drives Venezuelans to acquire U.S. dollars to preserve savings that they might otherwise lose. The growth for cryptocurrency activities in those regions is fueled by these desperate citizens using cryptocurrencies as rails to access the U.S. dollar, on top of acquiring actual Bitcoin or other underlying crypto assets.

The Rise of Crypto Dollars

Due to the highly volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, USD stablecoin, a crypto-powered blockchain token that pegs its value to the U.S. dollar, was introduced to provide stable dollar exposure in the crypto trading sphere. Tether is the first of its kind. Issued in 2014 on the bitcoin blockchain (Omni layer protocol), under the token symbol USDT, it attempts to provide crypto traders with a stable settlement currency while they trade in and out of various crypto assets. The reason behind the stablecoin creation was to address the inefficient and burdensome aspects of having to move fiat U.S. dollars between the legacy banking system and crypto exchanges. Because one USDT is theoretically backed by one U.S. dollar, traders can use USDT to trade and settle to fiat dollars. It was not until 2017 that the majority of traders seemed to realize Tether’s intended utility and started using it widely. As of April 2019, USDT trading volume started exceeding the trading volume of bitcoina12, and it now dominates the crypto trading sphere with over $50 billion average daily trading volume13.

https://preview.redd.it/3vq7v1jg09p51.png?width=700&format=png&auto=webp&s=46f11b5f5245a8c335ccc60432873e9bad2eb1e1
An interesting aspect of USDT is that although the claimed 1:1 backing with U.S. dollar collateral is in question, and the Tether company is in reality running fractional reserves through a loose offshore corporate structure, Tether’s trading volume and adoption continues to grow rapidly14. Perhaps in comparison to fiat U.S. dollars, which is not really backed by anything, Tether still has cash equivalents in reserves and crypto traders favor its liquidity and convenience over its lack of legitimacy. For those who are concerned about Tether’s solvency, they can now purchase credit default swaps for downside protection15. On the other hand, USDC, the more compliant contender, takes a distant second spot with total coin circulation of $1.8 billion, versus USDT at $14.5 billion (at the time of publication). It is still too early to tell who is the ultimate leader in the stablecoin arena, as more and more stablecoins are launching to offer various functions and supporting mechanisms. There are three main categories of stablecoin: fiat-backed, crypto-collateralized, and non-collateralized algorithm based stablecoins. Most of these are still at an experimental phase, and readers can learn more about them here. With the continuous innovation of stablecoin development, the utility stablecoins provide in the overall crypto market will become more apparent.

Institutional Developments

In addition to trade settlement, stablecoins can be applied in many other areas. Cross-border payments and remittances is an inefficient market that desperately needs innovation. In 2020, the average cost of sending money across the world is around 7%16, and it takes days to settle. The World Bank aims to reduce remittance fees to 3% by 2030. With the implementation of blockchain technology, this cost could be further reduced close to zero.
J.P. Morgan, the largest bank in the U.S., has created an Interbank Information Network (IIN) with 416 global Institutions to transform the speed of payment flows through its own JPM Coin, another type of crypto dollar17. Although people argue that JPM Coin is not considered a cryptocurrency as it cannot trade openly on a public blockchain, it is by far the largest scale experiment with all the institutional participants trading within the “permissioned” blockchain. It might be more accurate to refer to it as the use of distributed ledger technology (DLT) instead of “blockchain” in this context. Nevertheless, we should keep in mind that as J.P. Morgan currently moves $6 trillion U.S. dollars per day18, the scale of this experiment would create a considerable impact in the international payment and remittance market if it were successful. Potentially the day will come when regulated crypto exchanges become participants of IIN, and the link between public and private crypto assets can be instantly connected, unlocking greater possibilities in blockchain applications.
Many central banks are also in talks about developing their own central bank digital currency (CBDC). Although this idea was not new, the discussion was brought to the forefront due to Facebook’s aggressive Libra project announcement in June 2019 and the public attention that followed. As of July 2020, at least 36 central banks have published some sort of CBDC framework. While each nation has a slightly different motivation behind its currency digitization initiative, ranging from payment safety, transaction efficiency, easy monetary implementation, or financial inclusion, these central banks are committed to deploying a new digital payment infrastructure. When it comes to the technical architectures, research from BIS indicates that most of the current proofs-of-concept tend to be based upon distributed ledger technology (permissioned blockchain)19.

https://preview.redd.it/lgb1f2rw19p51.png?width=700&format=png&auto=webp&s=040bb0deed0499df6bf08a072fd7c4a442a826a0
These institutional experiments are laying an essential foundation for an improved global payment infrastructure, where instant and frictionless cross-border settlements can take place with minimal costs. Of course, the interoperability of private DLT tokens and public blockchain stablecoins has yet to be explored, but the innovation with both public and private blockchain efforts could eventually merge. This was highlighted recently by the Governor of the Bank of England who stated that “stablecoins and CBDC could sit alongside each other20”. One thing for certain is that crypto dollars (or other fiat-linked digital currencies) are going to play a significant role in our future economy.

Future Opportunities

There is never a dull moment in the crypto sector. The industry narratives constantly shift as innovation continues to evolve. Twelve years since its inception, Bitcoin has evolved from an abstract subject to a familiar concept. Its role as a secured, scarce, decentralized digital store of value has continued to gain acceptance, and it is well on its way to becoming an investable asset class as a portfolio hedge against asset price inflation and fiat currency depreciation. Stablecoins have proven to be useful as proxy dollars in the crypto world, similar to how dollars are essential in the traditional world. It is only a matter of time before stablecoins or private digital tokens dominate the cross-border payments and global remittances industry.
There are no shortages of hypes and experiments that draw new participants into the crypto space, such as smart contracts, new blockchains, ICOs, tokenization of things, or the most recent trends on DeFi tokens. These projects highlight the possibilities for a much more robust digital future, but the market also needs time to test and adopt. A reliable digital payment infrastructure must be built first in order to allow these experiments to flourish.
In this paper we examined the historical background and economic reasons for the U.S. dollar’s dominance in the world, and the probable conclusion is that the demand for U.S. dollars will likely continue, especially in the middle of a global pandemic, accompanied by a worldwide economic slowdown. The current monetary system is far from perfect, but there are no better alternatives for replacement at least in the near term. Incremental improvements are being made in both the public and private sectors, and stablecoins have a definite role to play in both the traditional and the new crypto world.
Thank you.

Reference:
[1] How the US dollar became the world’s reserve currency, Investopedia
[2] The dollar is in high demand, prone to dangerous appreciation, The Economist
[3] Dollar dominance in trade and finance, Gita Gopinath
[4] Global trades dependence on dollars, The Economist & IMF working papers
[5] Total credit to non-bank borrowers by currency of denomination, BIS
[6] Biggest stock exchanges in the world, Business Insider
[7] McKinsey Global Private Market Review 2020, McKinsey & Company
[8] Central banks current interest rates, Global Rates
[9] Venezuela hyperinflation hits 10 million percent, CNBC
[10] Lebanon inflation crisis, Reuters
[11] Venezuela cryptocurrency market, Chainalysis
[12] The most used cryptocurrency isn’t Bitcoin, Bloomberg
[13] Trading volume of all crypto assets, coinmarketcap.com
[14] Tether US dollar peg is no longer credible, Forbes
[15] New crypto derivatives let you bet on (or against) Tether’s solvency, Coindesk
[16] Remittance Price Worldwide, The World Bank
[17] Interbank Information Network, J.P. Morgan
[18] Jamie Dimon interview, CBS News
[19] Rise of the central bank digital currency, BIS
[20] Speech by Andrew Bailey, 3 September 2020, Bank of England
submitted by Tokenomy to tokenomyofficial [link] [comments]

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submitted by KAZIMH2 to credit_cards [link] [comments]

Understanding Fundamental Effects on Price

Another really huge issue with the btc community in general, and this reddit especially, is the lack of nuance on price. And again, an unwillingness to accept critique.
There are several scenario that can play out with price, but in some of those scenario, we may even see a huge price pump, while *still failing at adoption*. And I think that's an important distinction to make. Just because wallstreet pumps the price for reasons that only concern the rich and institutions, does not equate to adoption. It does not equate to us making vital changes for the betterment of the network and adoption. It just doesn't.

Wallstreet is perfectly content with hyper regulated bitcoin that is totally irrelevant for the common man and unadopted and unused, they are perfectly fine treating bitcoin as a glorified sovereign bond and international form of settlement. That is how the institutions and rich see it. They see it much like they see bonds and gold, and are willing to treat it as such. This is even a positive in some regard because it brings monetary transparency into the banking and wealth sector.

But it does not address cypherpunk, emancipatory politics, or global poverty, or individual sovereignty. And it is acheived largely through extreme centralization and hyper invasive surveillance. Be clear, they can pump the price to 250,000 while still controlling everything through Patriot Act, AMLD5, NDAA, and FACTA and the banking secrecy Act. All of which Bitcoin is entirely ideologically incompatible with. But that's just fine, because the rich already comply with those laws (mostly). They already price in the regulatory and compliance costs of an institution, of an offshore tax haven.

That's just it. IT's fine for them to do this to btc, because the laws are designed for them. They create the barriers only they can afford to play in, while hurting it for everyone else.

The average common man in the world, and any developing country should be able to easily acquire btc without kyc. Period. It shouldn't be a surveillance state. I recently listened to Peter McCormack interview a darkmarket guy and I completely agree. We need to engineer away from on ramps, we need to engineer away from payment gates that involve fiat, and we need to all use coinjoiners and mixing technology. It needs to be the standard. There are so many reasons to use coinjoining for non illegality. Privacy is a fundamental need.

And internet 4.0 for finance is contingent on a lot of technology. These aren't really coins either. It is backbone technology to better facilitate bitcoin. But we have to have layer two solutions. It doesn't matter whether it's RSK or plasma, or both, we just need the secondary layer to pay for distributed processing, server function, matching, liquidity, file storage, atomic swaps, network gas, etc. DeFi network value cannot be conflated with the supply and demand of btc itself, we don't need permissioned side chains, we need permissionless open source side chains and interoperatibilty platforms that will protect the privacy of bitcoin and facilitate it on decentralized exchanges. On exchanges that cannot be taken down. To do that we need staggering amounts of technology innovation and thoroughput, that will require people to host nodes, mine and stake these ancillary services to protect the backbone of bitcoin commerce.

Anyone who is into toxic maximalism. Let it be known that you are willfully promoting corporate bitcoin supported by massive centralized players who will treat it as a bond or settlement statist instrument. You're promoting the support of bitcoin on an entirely captured regulatory framework and an entirely captured unsafe unsecure regular internet controlled by the clearnet and amazon and google and heavily surveiled. .Org just privatize for fuck sakes. And any DNS can be compromised, any .com site can be siezed. This normal backbone is entirely inappropriate for bitcoin. Centralized exchanges and payment apps like cash app are entirely inappropriate for bitcoin.

You should be able to visit a IFPS site, connect a hardware wallet to any DEX or DAPP and immediately trade with the same speed and liquidity of binance and bitmex. The user interface should be simple and approachable to the layman. We need a liquidity interbank controlled by SPV server and dark node. Payment incentives for people to host liquidity to the network on plasma, radon, cosmos, uniswap, eventually all the DEX will simply be connected by interchain liquidity.

Crypto has to be extremely unfettered. The regulators and wallstreet have strangled it and will continue to do so. Some people have forgotten that this is a battle for financial sovereignty and protection against wealth confiscation. Only when they realize that they can't control us, will they be forced to sit down at the legislative table and negotiate with common people. You have to bring your government to heel.
submitted by samdane7777 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

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submitted by deltamk to Monero [link] [comments]

Intake 4/10/19

28/9/19 -4/10/19
1 Oxford Poorly reported placebos may lead to mistaken estimates of benefits http://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2019-10-01-poorly-reported-placebos-may-lead-mistaken-estimates-benefits
2 Cambridge AN EXTRA VEGETARIAN OPTION CUTS MEAT CONSUMPTION WITHOUT DENTING FOOD SALES https://www.cam.ac.uk/vegnudge Mild-to-moderate hearing loss in children leads to changes in how brain processes sound https://www.cam.ac.uk/research/news/mild-to-moderate-hearing-loss-in-children-leads-to-changes-in-how-brain-processes-sound Type 2 diabetes remission possible with ‘achievable’ weight loss, say researchers https://www.cam.ac.uk/research/news/type-2-diabetes-remission-possible-with-achievable-weight-loss-say-researchers Study highlights potential of whole genome sequencing to enable personalised cancer treatment https://www.cam.ac.uk/research/news/study-highlights-potential-of-whole-genome-sequencing-to-enable-personalised-cancer-treatment Mechanisms of real-time speech interpretation in the human brain revealed https://www.cam.ac.uk/research/news/mechanisms-of-real-time-speech-interpretation-in-the-human-brain-revealed
3 Stanford Stanford chemist develop ‘infrared vision’ for cancer immunotherapy https://news.stanford.edu/2019/10/03/infrared-vision-immunotherapy/ Stanford psychologists discover new patterns of brain development in areas linked to reading and face recognition https://news.stanford.edu/2019/10/03/new-patterns-brain-development-discovered/ Stanford psychiatry professor works to bring scientists to addiction policy debates https://news.stanford.edu/2019/10/03/bringing-neuroscience-bear-addiction-policy/ Stanford psychologists show leading with flavor encourages healthy eating https://news.stanford.edu/2019/10/02/leading-flavor-encourages-healthy-eating/ Stanford researchers have developed a gel-like fluid to prevent wildfires https://news.stanford.edu/2019/09/30/new-treatment-prevents-wildfires/ Why Women and Older Workers Make Less Driving for Uber https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/insights/why-women-older-workers-make-less-driving-uber
4 Massachusetts Institute of Technology A new way to corrosion-proof thin atomic sheets http://news.mit.edu/2019/corrosion-proof-atomic-sheets-1004 SMART develops a way to commercially manufacture integrated silicon III-V chips http://news.mit.edu/2019/mit-singapore-smart-way-to-manufacture-integrated-silicon-iii-v-chips-1003 Artificial gut aims to expose the elusive microbiome http://news.mit.edu/2019/artificial-gut-aims-to-expose-human-microbiome-1003 Engineered viruses could fight drug resistance http://news.mit.edu/2019/engineered-phage-viruses-drug-resistance-1003 This is how a “fuzzy” universe may have looked http://news.mit.edu/2019/early-galaxy-fuzzy-universe-simulation-1003 System helps smart devices find their position http://news.mit.edu/2019/iot-smart-device-position-1003 Using algorithms to build a map of the placenta http://news.mit.edu/2019/using-algorithms-to-build-placenta-map-1002 Study: Better sleep habits lead to better college grades http://news.mit.edu/2019/better-sleep-better-grades-1001 Tracing the origins of air pollutants in India http://news.mit.edu/2019/tracing-air-pollution-india-0930 This flat structure morphs into shape of a human face when temperature changes http://news.mit.edu/2019/mesh-structure-shape-temperature-changes-0930 Delivery system can make RNA vaccines more powerful http://news.mit.edu/2019/rna-vaccine-delivery-0930 How to dismantle a nuclear bomb http://news.mit.edu/2019/verify-dismantle-nuclear-bombs-0927
5 Caltech Virtual Reality for Scientists https://www.caltech.edu/about/news/virtual-reality-scientists Researchers Advancing Understanding of Vital Enzyme https://www.caltech.edu/about/news/researchers-advancing-understanding-vital-enzyme
6 Harvard Michael Fabiano wears many hats (AP) https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2019/10/continuing-education-is-essential-in-todays-new-media-soaked-world-and-so-is-accuracy/ You are what you eat — and how you cook it https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2019/10/study-finds-gut-microbes-adapt-quickly-to-changes-in-food-preparation/ Omega-3 fish oil rises to top in analysis of studies https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2019/09/major-study-finds-omega-3-supplements-may-reduce-risk-of-heart-attack/ A new hunt for Jimmy Hoffa (And Finally) https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2019/10/in-new-book-professor-probes-stepdads-ties-to-hoffa-disappearance/ Red flags rise on global warming and the seas https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2019/10/urgency-of-climate-change-may-be-understated-in-intergovernmental-panel-report/ In a first, optical tweezers give Harvard scientists the control to capture ultracold molecules https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2019/10/harvard-scientists-use-optical-tweezers-to-capture-ultracold-molecules/ The shape-shifting of things to come https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2019/10/shape-shifting-structures-can-take-the-form-of-a-face-antenna/ First video of viruses assembling https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2019/10/first-video-of-viruses-assembling-released/
7 Princeton Get moving! The mystery of animal group behavior https://www.princeton.edu/news/2019/09/30/get-moving-mystery-animal-group-behavior
8 Yale University Barrier to rural opioid treatment: driving distance to methadone clinics https://news.yale.edu/2019/10/01/barrier-rural-opioid-treatment-driving-distance-methadone-clinics Too Young to Screen: Breast Cancer in Younger Women https://www.yalemedicine.org/stories/breast-cancer-younger-women/ New drug helps combat metabolic syndrome https://news.yale.edu/2019/10/02/new-drug-helps-combat-metabolic-syndrome Female orgasm is evolution’s happy gift https://news.yale.edu/2019/09/30/female-orgasm-evolutions-happy-gift Growing old together: a sharper look at black holes and their host galaxies https://news.yale.edu/2019/09/30/growing-old-together-sharper-look-black-holes-and-their-host-galaxies
9 Imperial College London Gut bacteria ‘fingerprint’ predicts radiotherapy side effects https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/193154/gut-bacteria-fingerprint-predicts-radiotherapy-side/ ‘Poisoned arrowhead’ used by warring bacteria could lead to new antibiotics https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/193148/poisoned-arrowhead-used-warring-bacteria-could/
10 Chicago None
11 ETH Zurich Artificial intelligence improves biomedical imaging https://ethz.ch/en/news-and-events/eth-news/news/2019/09/artificial-intelligence-improves-biomedical-imaging.html
12 Johns Hopkins University Careful Monitoring of Children Following Cardiac Surgery May Improve Long-Term Outcomes https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/news/newsroom/news-releases/careful-monitoring-of-children-following-cardiac-surgery-may-improve-long-term-outcomes ‘Dietary’ Vulnerability Found in Cancer Cells With Mutated Spliceosomes https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/news/newsroom/news-releases/dietary-vulnerability-found-in-cancer-cells-with-mutated-spliceosomes Golden Ratio Observed In Human Skulls https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/news/newsroom/news-releases/golden-ratio-observed-in-human-skulls Flu Experts at Johns Hopkins Medicine https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/news/newsroom/news-releases/flu-experts-at-johns-hopkins-medicine-1 Nanoparticles Wiggling Through Mucus May Predict Severe COPD https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/news/newsroom/news-releases/nanoparticles-wiggling-through-mucus-may-predict-severe-copd Johns Hopkins Researchers Advance Search For Safer, Easier Way to Deliver Vision-Saving Gene Therapy to The Retina https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/news/newsroom/news-releases/johns-hopkins-researchers-advance-search-for-safer-easier-way-to-deliver-vision-saving-gene-therapy-to-the-retina
13 University of Pennsylvania Identifying a gene for canine night blindness https://penntoday.upenn.edu/news/identifying-gene-canine-night-blindness New chip poised to enable handheld microwave imaging https://penntoday.upenn.edu/news/new-chip-poised-enable-hand-held-microwave-imaging Signaling the trustworthiness of science https://penntoday.upenn.edu/news/signaling-trustworthiness-science How race informed the 6th Amendment right to counsel https://penntoday.upenn.edu/news/how-race-informed-6th-amendment-right-counsel How restricting skilled immigration could spur offshoring https://penntoday.upenn.edu/news/how-restricting-skilled-immigration-could-spur-offshoring New topological insulator can reroute photonic ‘traffic’ on the fly https://penntoday.upenn.edu/news/new-topological-insulator-can-reroute-photonic-traffic-fly Emily Steinlight brings a modern look to Victorian-era studies https://penntoday.upenn.edu/news/emily-steinlight-brings-modern-look-victoria-era-studies Penn team creates first bile duct-on-a-chip https://penntoday.upenn.edu/news/penn-team-creates-first-bile-duct-chip
14 UCL “Children’s voices” omitted from care records, UCL study finds https://www.ucl.ac.uk/news/2019/oct/childrens-voices-omitted-care-records-ucl-study-finds Health worsens the longer you live in a deprived neighbourhood https://www.ucl.ac.uk/news/2019/oct/health-worsens-longer-you-live-deprived-neighbourhood Analysis: Having sex in older age could make you happier and healthier https://www.ucl.ac.uk/news/2019/oct/analysis-having-sex-older-age-could-make-you-happier-and-healthier Fruit flies live longer with combination drug treatment https://www.ucl.ac.uk/news/2019/sep/fruit-flies-live-longer-combination-drug-treatment
15 University of California, Berkeley CRISPRed flies mimic monarch butterfly — and could make you vomit https://vcresearch.berkeley.edu/news/crispred-flies-mimic-monarch-butterfly-and-could-make-you-vomit Collapse of desert birds due to heat stress from climate change https://vcresearch.berkeley.edu/news/collapse-desert-birds-due-heat-stress-climate-change New poll: Vaccine rule widely supported by California voters https://vcresearch.berkeley.edu/news/new-poll-vaccine-rule-widely-supported-california-voters Does being a ‘superwoman’ protect African American women’s health? https://vcresearch.berkeley.edu/news/does-being-superwoman-protect-african-american-womens-health
16 Columbia University N/A
17 UCLA Fat cells are used to deliver drug that suppresses tumor growth in mice https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/fat-cells-deliver-drug-suppresses-tumor-growth Researchers identify molecular process that could accelerate recovery from nerve injuries https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/molecular-process-accelerates-nerve-injury-recovery Study identifies therapeutic target for high blood pressure in the lungs https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/therapeutic-target-high-blood-pressure-lungs
18 Duke N/A
19 Cornell Nature, Our Intrinsic Healer https://research.cornell.edu/news-features/nature-our-intrinsic-healer
20 University of Michigan-Ann Arbor (all links at top) How opt-out organ donation could affect U.S. waiting lists https://news.umich.edu/how-opt-out-organ-donation-could-affect-u-s-waiting-lists/ Patient cancer cells reliably grow on new 3D scaffold, showing promise for precision medicine https://news.umich.edu/patient-cancer-cells-reliably-grow-on-new-3d-scaffold-showing-promise-for-precision-medicine/ Collaboration may improve access to HIV testing, primary care https://news.umich.edu/collaboration-may-improve-access-to-hiv-testing-primary-care/ Screening for lung cancer based on risk could save lives https://news.umich.edu/screening-for-lung-cancer-based-on-risk-could-save-lives/ Just add water: U-M chemists suggest a fix for insoluble drugs https://news.umich.edu/just-add-water-u-m-chemists-suggest-a-fix-for-insoluble-drugs/ Hard as ceramic, tough as steel: Newly discovered connection could help design of nextgen alloys https://news.umich.edu/hard-as-ceramic-tough-as-steel-newly-discovered-connection-could-help-design-of-nextgen-alloys/
21 Toronto Young adults of South Asian descent face higher risk of prediabetes, diabetes: U of T study https://www.utoronto.ca/news/young-adults-south-asian-descent-face-higher-risk-prediabetes-diabetes-u-t-study U of T paleontologists find traces of sabre-toothed cat in Medicine Hat https://www.utoronto.ca/news/u-t-paleontologists-find-traces-sabre-toothed-cat-medicine-hat U of T-led team text mines over 89,000 scientific papers, revealing new evolutionary insights into ants and plants https://www.utoronto.ca/news/u-t-led-team-text-mines-over-89000-scientific-papers-revealing-new-evolutionary-insights-ants Male surgeons earn more than female surgeons for same time worked: U of T study https://www.utoronto.ca/news/male-surgeons-make-more-female-surgeons-same-time-worked-u-t-study U of T ecologists find strong evidence of ‘fishing down the food web’ in freshwater lake https://www.utoronto.ca/news/u-t-ecologists-find-strong-evidence-fishing-down-food-web-freshwater-lake
22 Tsinghua University N/A
23 National University of Singapore ‘Express courier service’ for immune cells http://news.nus.edu.sg/research/express-courier-service-immune-cells
24 Carnegie Mellon University One-Dimensional Objects Morph Into New Dimensions https://www.cmu.edu/news/stories/archives/2019/octobeone-dimensional-objects-morph-new-dimensions.html New Biological Approach Helps Robots Sense Chemicals https://www.cmu.edu/news/stories/archives/2019/octobebiological-approach-helps-robots-sense-chemicals.html Simon Initiative Tool Helps Students Polish Writing Skills https://www.cmu.edu/news/stories/archives/2019/septembesimon-tool-helps-polish-writing-skills.html
25 Northwestern University (June 20th) N/A
26 London School of Economics and Political Science Imprint of poor parental relationships linked to high social costs http://www.lse.ac.uk/News/Latest-news-from-LSE/2019/j-October-2019/Imprint-of-poor-parental-relationships-linked-to-high-social-costs LSE academics develop tool to help combat global Antimicrobial Resistance http://www.lse.ac.uk/News/Latest-news-from-LSE/2019/j-October-2019/LSE-academics-develop-tool-to-help-combat-global-Antimicrobial-Resistance
27 New York University Fungal Invasion of Pancreas Creates Cancer Risk https://www.nyu.edu/about/news-publications/news/2019/octobefungal-invasion-of-pancreas-creates-cancer-risk-.html New Public-Private Research Upends Traditional Carbon Pricing and Presents a More Effective Method for Pricing Emissions https://www.nyu.edu/about/news-publications/news/2019/septembenew-public-private-research-upends-traditional-carbon-pricing-an.html
28 University of Washington Health disparities, strong social support among state’s LGBTQ community https://www.washington.edu/news/2019/10/04/health-disparities-strong-social-support-among-states-lgbtq-community/ New metasurface design can control optical fields in three dimensions https://www.washington.edu/news/2019/10/04/new-metasurface-design-can-control-optical-fields-in-three-dimensions/ Inspired by Northern clingfish, researchers make a better suction cup https://www.washington.edu/news/2019/10/02/inspired-by-northern-clingfish-researchers-make-a-better-suction-cup/
29 University of Edinburgh Nationally significant works by Darwin’s mentor secured https://www.ed.ac.uk/news/2019/nationally-significant-works-by-darwin-s-mentor-se European partners create new model for the future https://www.ed.ac.uk/news/2019/research-partners-focus-on-europe-wide-future Prejudice against ethnic minorities persists https://www.ed.ac.uk/news/2019/prejudice-against-ethnic-minorities-persists Surrogacy advance could aid rare chicken breeds https://www.ed.ac.uk/news/2019/surrogacy-advance-could-aid-rare-chicken-breeds Drug could help improve ovarian cancer treatment https://www.ed.ac.uk/news/2019/drug-could-help-improve-ovarian-cancer-treatment
30 University of California, San Diego Immune Cell Identity Crisis: What Makes a Liver Macrophage a Liver Macrophage? https://ucsdnews.ucsd.edu/pressrelease/immune-cell-identity-crisis-what-makes-a-liver-macrophage-a-liver-macrophage Cracking How ‘Water Bears’ Survive the Extremes https://ucsdnews.ucsd.edu/pressrelease/cracking-how-water-bears-survive-the-extremes Skin-Cells-Turned-to-Heart-Cells Help Unravel Genetic Underpinnings of Cardiac Function https://ucsdnews.ucsd.edu/pressrelease/skin-cells-turned-to-heart-cells-help-unravel-genetic-underpinnings-of-cardiac-function
31 Peking University (Search 2019-09) N/A
32 LMU Munich Rotation on an eight-shaped path http://www.en.uni-muenchen.de/news/newsarchiv/2019/dube_naturecomm.html
33 University of Melbourne N/A
34 Georgia Institute of Technology N/A
35 École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne Taking sustainability into space https://news.epfl.ch/news/taking-sustainability-into-space/ The right carbon tax to reduce the impact of transport in Switzerland https://news.epfl.ch/news/the-right-carbon-tax-to-reduce-the-impact-of-trans/ EPFL researchers invent low-cost alternative to Bitcoin https://news.epfl.ch/news/epfl-researchers-invent-low-cost-alternative-to-bi/
36 University of Hong Kong N/A
37 University of British Columbia
38 King’s College London FODMAPs diet relieves symptoms of inflammatory bowel disease https://www.kcl.ac.uk/news/fodmaps-diet-relieves-symptoms-of-inflammatory-bowel-disease
39 University of Texas at Austin How sustainable is tuna? New global catch database exposes dangerous fishing trends https://news.ubc.ca/2019/10/01/how-sustainable-is-tuna-new-global-catch-database-exposes-dangerous-fishing-trends/ UBC study highlights need to improve health care access in Vancouver, Portland and Seattle https://news.ubc.ca/2019/09/30/ubc-study-highlights-need-to-improve-health-care-access-in-vancouver-portland-and-seattle/
40 Karolinska Institute Breakthrough in sex-chromosome regulation https://news.ki.se/breakthrough-in-sex-chromosome-regulation New CRISPR-Cas9 variant may boost precision in gene editing https://news.ki.se/new-crispr-cas9-variant-may-boost-precision-in-gene-editing New method provides vehicles for RNA vaccines https://news.ki.se/new-method-provides-vehicles-for-rna-vaccines
41 Hong Kong University of Science and Technology HKUST Researchers Discover New Virus Traits That May Help Fight Global Warming and Develop Anti-virus Drug https://www.ust.hk/news/research-and-innovation/hkust-researchers-discover-new-virus-traits-may-help-fight-global
42 Paris Sciences et Lettres – PSL Research University Paris N/A
43 The University of Tokyo Three gravitational-wave detectors sign agreement to begin joint observation Collaboration will enable pinpointing origin of gravitational-wave events https://www.u-tokyo.ac.jp/focus/en/press/z0508_00147.html
44 University of Wisconsin-Madison N/A
45 McGill University N/A
46 Technical University of Munich Weak spot in pathogenic bacteria https://www.tum.de/nc/en/about-tum/news/press-releases/details/35720/ New approach to pain treatment in diseases of the pancreas https://www.tum.de/nc/en/about-tum/news/press-releases/details/35718/
47 Heidelberg University N/A
48 KU Leuven KU Leuven researchers reveal deepest layers of Bruegel drawings https://nieuws.kuleuven.be/en/content/2019/ku-leuven-researchers-reveal-deepest-layers-of-bruegel-drawings/view
49 Australian National University The violent history of the big galaxy next door https://www.anu.edu.au/news/all-news/the-violent-history-of-the-big-galaxy-next-door
50 University of Illinois Anger-prone children may benefit most from maternal sensitivity, study finds https://news.illinois.edu/view/6367/803245 Researchers repurpose failed cancer drug into printable semiconductor https://news.illinois.edu/view/6367/803208 Study finds rising ozone a hidden threat to corn https://news.illinois.edu/view/6367/803124 Purple martin migration behavior perplexes researchers https://news.illinois.edu/view/6367/803103
submitted by LBLLuke to Uniblast [link] [comments]

J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Thurs 9.14.17 - **PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT**

J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Thurs 9.14.17 Trading Desk Commentary; For Institutional Investors Only
*PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT*

Morning Levels

Trading Update

Top Headlines for Thursday

Calendar of events to watch for the week of Mon Sept 18

Catalysts – big events to watch over the coming months

Tech Events – calendar of events coming up over the next few weeks

Full catalyst list

  • Mon Sept 18 – China Aug property prices (Sun night/Mon morning)
  • Mon Sept 18 – US NAHB housing market index for Sept. 10amET.
  • Mon Sept 18 – analyst meetings: BA
  • Mon Sept 18 – earnings after the close: SCS
  • Tues Sept 19 – Eurozone/German ZEW survey for Sept. 5amET.
  • Tues Sept 19 – US current account balance for Q2. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Sept 19 – US housing starts for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Sept 19 – US import prices for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Sept 19 – US building permits for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Sept 19 – analyst meetings: AIR Canada, BA, BBY, BIG, CARB
  • Tues Sept 19 – earnings before the open: APOG, AZO, PGR
  • Tues Sept 19 – earnings after the close: ADBE, AIR, ALOG, BBBY, FDX
  • Wed Sept 20 – US existing home sales for Aug. 10amET.
  • Wed Sept 20 – FOMC decision. 2pmET press release and 2:30pmET press conf.
  • Wed Sept 20 – analyst meetings: PPC
  • Wed Sept 20 – earnings before the open: GIS
  • Wed Sept 20 – earnings after the close: MLHR
  • Thurs Sept 21 – BOJ policy decision (Wed night/Thurs morning).
  • Thurs Sept 21 – ECB economic bulletin. 4amET.
  • Thurs Sept 21 – Eurozone consumer confidence for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Sept 21 – US FHFA home price index for Jul. 9amET.
  • Thurs Sept 21 – US Leading Index for Aug. 10amET.
  • Thurs Sept 21 – earnings before the open: MANU
  • Thurs Sept 21 – earnings after the close: PSDO, YOGA
  • Fri Sept 22 – Eurozone flash PMIs for Sept. 4amET.
  • Fri Sept 22 – US flash PMIs for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Fri Sept 22 – Fed speakers (Williams, George, Kaplan)
  • Fri Sept 22 – analyst meetings: Adecco
  • Fri Sept 22 – earnings before the open: FINL, KMX
  • Mon Sept 25 – German IFO results for Sept. 4amET.
  • Mon Sept 25 – US Chicago Fed Index for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Mon Sept 25 – US Dallas Fed Index for Sept. 10:30amET.
  • Mon Sept 25 – analyst meetings: CMS, Total
  • Mon Sept 25 – earnings after the close: RHT
  • Tues Sept 26 – US Case-Shiller home price index for Jul. 9amET.
  • Tues Sept 26 – US new home sales for Aug. 10amET.
  • Tues Sept 26 – US Conf. Board Consumer Confidence for Sept. 10amET.
  • Tues Sept 26 – Yellen delivers keynote at NABE conference in Cleveland. 12pmET.
  • Tues Sept 26 – analyst meetings: Nestle, SPR, UBNT, VAR
  • Tues Sept 26 – earnings before the open: DRI, FDS, INFO
  • Tues Sept 26 – earnings after the close: LNDC, MU, NKE, WOR
  • Wed Sept 27 – China industrial profits for Aug (Tues night/Wed morning)
  • Wed Sept 27 – Eurozone M3 money supply figures for Aug. 4amET.
  • Wed Sept 27 – US durable goods for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Sept 27 – US pending home sales for Aug. 10amET.
  • Wed Sept 27 – analyst meetings: AMAT, DLPH, KMX, PANW, SPR
  • Wed Sept 27 – earnings after the close: PIR
  • Thurs Sept 28 – Eurozone confidence measures for Sept. 5amET.
  • Thurs Sept 28 – German inflation for Sept. 8amET.
  • Thurs Sept 28 – US Q2 data revisions (GDP, PCE, etc.). 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Sept 28 – US advance goods trade balance for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Sept 28 – analyst meetings: AEE, AFL
  • Thurs Sept 28 – earnings before the open: ACN, MKC, MTN, RAD
  • Thurs Sept 28 – earnings after the close: SGH
  • Fri Sept 29 – China Caixin manufacturing PMI for Sept (Thurs night/Fri morning)
  • Fri Sept 29 – German jobs numbers for Sept. 3:55amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – Eurozone CPI for Sept. 5amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – US personal income/spending for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – US PCE for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – Chicago PMI for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – Michigan Confidence for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – analyst meetings: CMP
  • Sat Sept 30 – China NBS manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI for Sept (Fri night/Sat morning)
  • Mon Oct 2 – China mainland markets closed Mon 10/2-Fri 10/6 for the National Day holiday.
  • Mon Oct 2 – Eurozone manufacturing PMI for Sept. 4amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – Eurozone unemployment rate for Aug. 5amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – US manufacturing PMI for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – US manufacturing ISM for Sept. 10amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – US construction spending for Aug. 10amET.
  • Tues Oct 3 – Eurozone PPI for Aug. 5amET.
  • Tues Oct 3 – US auto sales for Sept.
  • Tues Oct 3 – analyst meetings: F/Ford (Ford CEO to host strategic update), INTU, SHW
  • Tues Oct 3 – earnings before the open: PAYX
  • Wed Oct 4 – Eurozone services PMI for Sept. 4amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – Eurozone retail sales for Aug. 5amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – RBI rate decision. 5amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – US ADP jobs report for Sept. 8:15amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – US services PMI for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – US non-manufacturing ISM for Sept. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – Yellen delivers opening remarks at Community Banking conf. 3:15pmET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – analyst meetings: MNK, TTD
  • Wed Oct 4 – earnings before the open: MON, PEP
  • Wed Oct 4 – earnings after the close: RECN
  • Thurs Oct 5 – ECB meeting minutes. 7:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 5 – US factory orders and durable goods for Aug. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 5 – analyst meetings: BKH, CLX, LUK
  • Thurs Oct 5 – earnings before the open: STZ
  • Thurs Oct 5 – earnings after the close: COST, YUMC
  • Fri Oct 6 – German factory orders for Aug. 2amET.
  • Fri Oct 6 – US jobs report for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 6 – US wholesale inventories/trade sales for Aug. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 6 – US consumer credit for Aug. 3pmET.
  • Sat Oct 7 – China FX reserves for Sept (Fri night/Sat morning)
  • Mon Oct 9 – China Caixin services PMI for Sept (Sun night/Mon morning)
  • Mon Oct 9 – German industrial production for Aug. 2amET.
  • Mon Oct 9 – Columbus Day holiday in the US (equities will be open while fixed income is closed).
  • Tues Oct 10 – German trade balance for Aug. 2amET.
  • Tues Oct 10 – analyst meetings: TECD, WDAY, WMT
  • Tues Oct 10 – PG shareholder meeting
  • Wed Oct 11 – US JOLTs report for Aug. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 11 – Fed minutes from the Sept 20 meeting (2pmET).
  • Wed Oct 11 – analyst meetings: KR
  • Wed Oct 11 – earnings before the open: FAST
  • Thurs Oct 12 – Eurozone industrial production for Aug. 5amET.
  • Thurs Oct 12 – US PPI for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 12 – analyst meetings: BOX, HPQ
  • Thurs Oct 12 – earnings before the open: C, JPM, Tata Consultancy.
  • Fri Oct 13 – China imports/exports for Sept (Thurs night/Fri morning)
  • Fri Oct 13 – US CPI for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – US retail sales for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – US Michigan Sentiment for Oct. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – US business inventories for Aug. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – analyst meetings: SAFM
  • Fri Oct 13 – European trading updates: Man Group
  • Fri Oct 13 – earnings before the open: BAC, PNC, WFC
  • Mon Oct 16 – China CPI/PPI for Sept (Sun night/Mon morning)
  • Mon Oct 16 – Eurozone trade balance for Aug. 5amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – Eurozone Sept auto registrations. 2amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – German ZEW survey results for Oct. 5amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – US import prices for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – US industrial production for Sept. 9:15amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – US NAHB housing index for Oct. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US housing starts for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US building permits fro Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US Beige Book. 2pmET.
  • Thurs Oct 19 – China Q3 GDP and Sept retail sales, IP, and FAI (Wed night/Thurs morning)
  • Thurs Oct 19 – US Leading Index for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 20 – US existing home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Mon Oct 23 – US Chicago Fed Activity Index for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – Eurozone flash PMIs for Oct. 4amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – US flash PMIs for Oct. 9:45amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US durable goods for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US FHFA home price index for Aug. 9amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US new home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US wholesale inventories for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US advance goods trade balance for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US pending home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 27 – US Q3 GDP, personal consumption, and core PCE for Q3. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 27 – US Michigan Confidence numbers for Oct. 10amET.

J.P. Morgan Market Intelligence is a product of the Institutional Equities Sales and Trading desk of J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and the intellectual property thereof. It is not a product of the Research Department and is intended for distribution to institutional and professional customers only and is not intended for retail customer use. It may not be reproduced, redistributed or transmitted, in whole or in part, without J.P. Morgan’s consent.

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J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Mon 10.16.17 - **PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT**

J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Mon 10.16.17

SEC DISCLAMIER: PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT

Morning Levels

Trading Update

Top Headlines for Monday

Catalysts – big events to watch over the coming months

Full catalyst list

  • Wed Oct 18 – Fed speakers: Dudley, Kaplan.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US housing starts for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US building permits for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US Beige Book. 2pmET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – earnings before the open: ABT, Akzo Nobel, ASML, MTB, MTG, NTRS, Reckitt Benckiser, SVU, USB
  • Wed Oct 18 – earnings after the close: AA, AXP, BDN, BHE, BXS, CCI, CCK, EBAY, GHL, HXL, KALU, LLNW, SLG, SLM, STLD, TCBI, URI.
  • Thurs Oct 19 – China Q3 GDP and Sept retail sales, IP, and FAI (Wed night/Thurs morning)
  • Thurs Oct 19 – US Leading Index for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 19 – earnings before the open: ADS, BBT, BK, BX, DGX, DHR, DOV, GPC, KEY, Nestle, NUE, Pernod Ricard, Philips Lighting, PM, PPG, Publicis, RCI, Roche, SAP, SNA, SON, Thales, TRV, TSMC, TXT, Unilever, VZ, WBC, WGO.
  • Thurs Oct 19 – earnings after the close: ASB, ATHN, ETFC, ISRG, LHO, MXIM, NCR, PBCT, PFPT, PYPL, WDFC, WERN.
  • Fri Oct 20 – BOJ’s Kuroda speaks. 2:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 20 – US existing home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 20 – Yellen speaks to National Economists Club in Washington. 7:15pmET.
  • Fri Oct 20 – earnings before the open: Assa Abloy, BHGE, CFG, CLF, Daimler, DST, GE, GNTX, HON, InterContinental Hotels, KSU, MAN, PG, SLB, STI, SYF, TomTom, Volvo.
  • Mon Oct 23 – China Sept property prices (Sun night/Mon morning).
  • Mon Oct 23 – US Chicago Fed Activity Index for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Mon Oct 23 – earnings before the open: HAL, HAS, ITW, KMB, LII, Philips, STT, STX, VFC
  • Mon Oct 23 – earnings after the close: ARNC, CR, JBT, OI, ZION.
  • Tues Oct 24 – Eurozone flash PMIs for Oct. 4amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – ECB bank lending survey. 4amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – US flash PMIs for Oct. 9:45amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – earnings before the open: AMTD, Anglo American, BASF, BIIB, CAT, CLB, CNC, CVLT, ETR, Fiat Chrysler, FITB, GLW, GM, INFY, IPG, LLY, LMT, MAS, MCD, MMM, Novartis, PCAR, PHM, PNR, R, RF, SAH, SHW, SWK, UTX, WAT, WDR.
  • Tues Oct 24 – earnings after the close: AKAM, AMP, AXS, Canadian National Railway, CMG, COF, CYBE, DFS, ESRX, HLI, IRBT, IRM, MANH, NUVA, RGC, T, TSS, TXN.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US durable goods for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US FHFA home price index for Aug. 9amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US new home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – Bank of Canada rate decision. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – Brazilian rate decision (after the close).
  • Wed Oct 25 – earnings before the open: ALK, ALLY, ANTM, Antofagasta, AOS, APH, BA, BAX, BTU, Capgemini, Dassault Systemes, DPS, FCX, FLIR, Fresnillo, HBAN, Heineken, IP, IR, KO, LEA, LH, Lloyds Banking Group, NDAQ, NSC, NYCB, OC, Peugeot, SIRI, SLAB, TMO, TUP, V, WBA, WEC, WYN.
  • Wed Oct 25 – earnings after the close: ABX, ACGL, AFL, AMGN, CA, CLGX, DLR, FFIV, FNF, FTI, KIM, LSTR, MC, MLNX, NOW, NXPI, ORLY, PKG, PLXS, RJF, SSNC, TSCO, TYL, UNM, VAR, WCN, XLNX.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – Riksbank decision. 3:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – ECB rate decision. 7:45amET press release, 8:30amET press conf.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US wholesale inventories for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US advance goods trade balance for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US pending home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – earnings before the open: ABB, ABX, Aixtron, ALLE, ALV, Anheuser Busch, APD, Bayer, BEN, BMS, BMY, BSX, BWA, CCMP, CELG, CHTR, CMCSA, CME, COP, Deutsche Bank, ENTG, EQT, EXLS, F, GNC, HLT, HSY, LUV, MMC, MKC, NEM, Nokia, OAK, ODFL, PX, Santander, Schneider Electric, SPGI, STM, TWTR, UNP, UPS, VC, VNTV, WM, XEL, XRX.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – earnings after the close: AIV, ATEN, CB, CDNS, CENX, CLS, EXPE, FLEX, FTNT, FTV, GILD, GOOG, HIG, INTC, LPLA, MAT, MSFT, NATI, PFG, PRO, SGEN, SIVB, SYK, VDSI, VRSN.
  • Fri Oct 27 – China Sept industrial profits (Thurs night/Fri morning).
  • Fri Oct 27 – US Q3 GDP, personal consumption, and core PCE for Q3. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 27 – US Michigan Confidence numbers for Oct. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 27 – earnings before the open: B, MRK, PSX, SC, TRU, Volkswagen, WY, XOM.
  • Mon Oct 30 – US personal income/spending and PCE for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Mon Oct 30 – US Dallas Fed index for Oct. 10:30amET.
  • Mon Oct 30 – analyst meetings: CSX
  • Mon Oct 30 – earnings before the open: HSBC
  • Mon Oct 30 – earnings after the close: AVB, CGNX, RE, RTEC, VNO
  • Tues Oct 31 – BOJ rate decision (Mon night/Tues morning).
  • Tues Oct 31 – US Employment Cost Index for Q3. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Oct 31 – US Case-Shiller home price index for Aug. 9amET.
  • Tues Oct 31 – US Chicago PMI for Oct. 9:45amET.
  • Tues Oct 31 – US Conference Board Sentiment readings for Oct. 10amET.
  • Tues Oct 31 – earnings before the open: ADM, AET, Airbus, AMT, Barclays, BNP, CMI, ECL, FIS, GGP, K, MA, OSK, PFE, XYL.
  • Tues Oct 31 – earnings after the close: APC, CHRW, CXO, PLT, WFT, X
  • Wed Nov 1 – US ADP jobs report for Oct. 8:15amET.
  • Wed Nov 1 – US Markit Manufacturing PMI for Oct. 9:45amET.
  • Wed Nov 1 – US Manufacturing ISM for Oct. 10amET.
  • Wed Nov 1 – US construction spending report for Sept. 10amET.
  • Wed Nov 1 – US auto sales for Oct.
  • Wed Nov 1 – FOMC meeting decision. 2pmET.
  • Wed Nov 1 – earnings before the open: AGN, APO, CEVA, CLX, EL, GRMN, HFC, LFUS, Novo Nordisk, ORBK, Standard Chartered, TAP, TRI.
  • Wed Nov 1 – earnings after the close: ALL, BHF, BXP, CACI, CAVM, CSGS, EGOV, FB, LNC, MANT, MET, MUSA, OXY, PRU, QCOM, ULTI, XPO.
  • Thurs Nov 2 – BOE rate decision. 8amET.
  • Thurs Nov 2 – US nonfarm productivity and unit labor costs for Q3. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Nov 2 – earnings before the open: ADP, AN, BCE, CI, Credit Suisse, DISCA, H, ICE, LDOS, Royal Dutch Shell, Sanofi, Swiss Re, WRK.
  • Thurs Nov 2 – earnings after the close: AAPL, AIG, ATVI, CBS, CRUS, FLR, HLF, JCOM, RMAX, SBUX, UNIT.
  • Fri Nov 3 – US jobs report for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Nov 3 – US trade balance for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Nov 3 – US factory orders and durable goods orders for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Nov 3 – US non-manufacturing ISM for Oct. 10amET.
  • Mon Nov 6 – Fed’s Dudley speaks at The Economist Club of New York.
  • Tues Nov 7 – RBA rate decision. Mon night/Tues morning.
  • Tues Nov 7 – US JOLTs jobs report for Sept. 10amET.
  • Tues Nov 7 – US consumer credit for Sept. 3pmET.
  • Thurs Nov 9 – US wholesale trade sales/inventories for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Nov 10 – US Michigan Confidence preliminary numbers for Nov. 10amET.
  • Tues Nov 14 – US PPI for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Nov 15 – US CPI for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Nov 15 – US Empire Manufacturing for Nov. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Nov 15 – US retail sales for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Nov 15 – US business inventories for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Nov 16 – US import prices for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Nov 16 – US industrial production for Oct. 9:15amET.
  • Thurs Nov 16 – US NAHB housing index for Nov. 10amET.
  • Fri Nov 17 – US housing starts and building permits for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Mon Nov 20 – US Leading Index for Oct. 10amET.
  • Tues Nov 21 – US existing home sales for Oct. 10amET.
  • Wed Nov 22 – US durable goods for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Nov 22 – US final Michigan Confidence numbers for Nov. 10amET.
  • Wed Nov 22 – FOMC 11/1 meeting minutes. 2pmET.
  • Fri Nov 24 – US flash PMIs for Nov. 9:45amET.
J.P. Morgan Market Intelligence is a product of the Institutional Equities Sales and Trading desk of J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and the intellectual property thereof. It is not a product of the Research Department and is intended for distribution to institutional and professional customers only and is not intended for retail customer use. It may not be reproduced, redistributed or transmitted, in whole or in part, without J.P. Morgan’s consent. Any unauthorized use is strictly prohibited.
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